Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 9.399559 10.963130 12.671712 14.672785 16.947355 19.447460 22.398421
2026-01-18 6.788934 8.910242 11.469978 14.763639 18.864212 23.774299 30.068846
2026-01-25 5.084159 7.348721 10.308759 14.410683 19.888673 26.885905 36.421785
2026-02-01 3.961866 6.224844 9.391923 14.062468 20.671002 29.566069 42.295055
2026-02-08 3.099271 5.257853 8.472467 13.484617 20.947229 31.459606 47.147339
2026-02-15 2.485917 4.528805 7.749949 13.032249 21.263569 33.334220 52.019636
2026-02-22 2.179298 4.224137 7.611049 13.408917 22.796330 37.030287 59.740323
2026-03-01 1.934184 3.973875 7.510776 13.809694 24.370603 40.874702 67.929273
2026-03-08 1.602595 3.503705 6.964121 13.387161 24.552439 42.550035 72.877715
2026-03-15 1.348859 3.130862 6.528185 13.085335 24.875290 44.433257 78.237057
2026-03-22 1.254249 3.057957 6.628858 13.741751 26.881145 49.180049 88.500405
2026-03-29 1.149732 2.944381 6.632928 14.211672 28.585863 53.525667 98.360424
2026-04-05 1.000745 2.718943 6.411720 14.282545 29.679528 57.090273 107.480959
2026-04-12 0.866189 2.501804 6.181836 14.322829 30.751242 60.758985 117.160611
2026-04-19 0.722722 2.228844 5.786330 13.969829 31.027005 63.020411 124.538120
2026-04-26 0.604394 1.989897 5.423439 13.629223 31.276949 65.232009 131.955535
2026-05-03 0.493423 1.740472 4.989621 13.066786 31.003065 66.416876 137.548546
2026-05-10 0.407778 1.539272 4.634580 12.626755 30.924620 67.947241 143.859829
2026-05-17 0.371126 1.478245 4.624966 12.993077 32.608275 73.047624 157.280398
2026-05-24 0.339397 1.424680 4.625730 13.382895 34.376533 78.434749 171.579265
2026-05-31 0.283018 1.270301 4.321912 12.971914 34.296404 80.044520 178.546913
2026-06-07 0.239139 1.145924 4.078495 12.678367 34.449423 82.135254 186.588174
2026-06-14 0.227181 1.139292 4.182560 13.316806 36.861236 89.159795 205.048249